By Dr Bartholomew Frederick Dowling (auth.)
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Extra resources for Evolutionary Finance
Such aggregative rules of thumb sometimes work well in the modeled environment – as will be explained in Chapter 3. 4. As mentioned earlier, at times, this clustering of information bytes into memes, themes and even overall market sentiment occurs in a reasonably predictable fashion and is thus supportive of a Weak EMH outcome. At other points in time, the complex nonlinear relationships that necessarily go “hand-in-glove” with such a framework underpinning the drivers of information dynamics generate pricing outcomes of a deﬁnite chaotic nature – which is consistent with an empirical result supportive of Strong EMH.
1986); Kiem and Stambaugh (1986); Campbell (1991); Pesaran and Timmermann (1995); Womack (1996); Barber et al. (2001). Reilly and Hatﬁeld (1969); Kraus and Stoll (1972); Pettit (1972); Grier and Albin (1973); Watts (1973); Firth (1975); Ibbotson (1975); Dodd and Ruback (1977); Joy et al. (1977); Charest (1978); Watts (1978); Aharony and Swary (1980); Rendleman et al. (1982); Foster et al. (1984); Pierce and Roley (1985); Jain (1988). Information transmission over market “events” Fama (1965); Fama and Blume (1966); Levy (1967); Jensen and Bennington (1970); Pinches (1970); Praetz (1972); Fama and MacBeth (1973); Cootner (1974); Fama and French (1988); Brush (1986); Conrad and Kaul (1988); Poterba and Summers (1988); Pruitt and White (1988); Glosten (1989); Fama (1991); Campbell et al.
22 The formal foundations of the Random Walk approach in a ﬁnancial context are traced back to Osborne (1964) and Samuelson (1965) but it should be noted that as far back as 1900 Bachelier proposed that asset prices follow a Random Walk type of intertemporal pattern. Readers should note that much of the mathematics in modeling Random Walk movements with respect to time dates back to sixteenth-century games of chance – see Hald (1990). 28 Evolutionary Finance Mathematically, this is a very convenient form via which to model asset price movements.
Evolutionary Finance by Dr Bartholomew Frederick Dowling (auth.)